Option Expiration Date: 21 Nov 2025
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Strike Price: $170
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Premium Collected: $195 ($1.95 per share, or $195 per contract since 1 options contract = 100 shares)
Stock Price: 118.52
Stock Cost basis: 152 (I had own 100 x Baba share @ 152 Cost basis) With 100 shares, i can sell 1 Covered call contract.
Remarks: Don't sell naked Call option, unlimited potential loss if BABA spikes well above $170.
Scenario 1. BABA closes below $170
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The option expires worthless.
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You keep the entire $195 premium.
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No shares are called away.
Scenario 2. BABA closes above $170
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The option will likely be exercised.
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You must sell 100 BABA shares at $170.
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Your effective sale price = $170 + $1.95 = $171.95 (including premium).
Effective Profit: (170-152+1.95) = 19.95 per share.
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If you don’t own the shares, this becomes a naked call, and you'd have to buy BABA at market price and sell at $170 → unlimited risk.
Here's a snapshot of recent analyst forecasts (all represent 12-month targets):
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TipRanks: Consensus average of $150.80, range $100 – $180 (~+25.6% upside) Investing.com+7TipRanks+7Barron's+7TradingView+4MarketBeat+4StockAnalysis+4
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MarketBeat (16 analysts): Avg $150.80, low $100, high $180 (~+25.6%) MarketBeat
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